Let's try to turn this around this week. Had a middling showing last week although our fundamentals remain consistent with the big winners. Let's take a look at our lineup for the $5k Sunday NFL Mini Snap ($2 entry, cap of 2,941 entries).
Defense: As always, we're seeking value early, letting us spend a bit more on the positions that win people money. We will spend a couple hundred more than we're accustomed to and go with the Dolphins ($4,600) facing a rookie-led Cleveland Browns squad.
Kicker: Another easy spot to grab value. Rams' kicker Greg Zuerlein ($4,500) will have opportunities this week as the Rams face a defense that will allow them to move the ball a bit more.
Running Back: As our own DFS Accountant tells us, you have to make picks that separate yourself from the pack. While we likeShane Vereen ($5,200) more in full PPR formats, the fact that Rashad Jennings' status is in question makes Vereen one of those "swing for the fences" types of picks.
Running Back: Going against the Panther RB chalk here which will likely align with Fozzy Whitaker, who was the main beneficiary of Jonathan Stewart's injury last week. But Cameron Artis Payne ($4,800) appears to be in line for just as much work given the matchup. That said, the matchup is tough but if he can manage 60-70 yards and score once, this is a great call. We've spent just $10k on our RBs, letting us splurge on the pass catching battery.
Tight End: Going to go the value route here and slide Trey Burton ($4,500) in at TE. Zach Ertz is out again and the rookie QB Carson Wentz will again lean on the Eagle TE spot. PIT has been "meh" against opposing TEs so this is a decent gamble.
QB/WR Stack: We've seen what Andrew Luck ($8,700) can do when facing soft defenses. The lack of a run game or a defense makes Luck a solid fantasy play when going against a team with a decent offense and lackluster defense. Going to really roll the dice with a WR double stack with Philip Dorsett ($6,000) filling in for the injured Donte Moncrief and T.Y. Hilton ($7,400) whose knee should not prohibit him from making big plays Sunday.
Wide Receiver: With plenty of coin left, we simply slide our #1 WR in. Antonio Brown ($9,500) should see plenty of targets against Philly and we expect at least 1 score.
QB: Luck ($8,700)
RB: Vereen ($5,200)
RB: Artis-Payne ($4,800)
WR: Brown ($9,500)
WR: Hilton ($7,400)
WR: Dorsett ($6,000)
TE: Burton ($4,500)
PK: Zuerlein ($4,500)
DEF: Miami ($4,600)
Well last week we cashed based on our stack of Larry Fitzgerald with Carson Palmer, but Michael Floyd, while he scored, didn't do much else for us. This week we are going to again rely on value picks that go against the grain a bit. It's the way that bigger GPPs are won. Dropping our lineup into the NFL $50k Safety ($2 entry, 29,411 max).
Defense: Going to go full budget mode here and snag the Cowboys ($2,500) facing a Bears team that can't run and will have a backup QB in on MNF.
Tight End: Sticking with the Cowboys here and plugging Jason Witten ($4,300) in against a Bears defense that will be missing Danny Trevathan and already can't stop opposing TEs. Bonus for full PPR here in DraftKings.
Running Back: Going with the numbers here: Melvin Gordon ($5,800) faces the league's worst rush D in terms of allowing fantasy points to RBs, and won't be fighting off Danny Woodhead for carries/catches. Great value this week.
QB/WR Stack: Marcus Mariota ($5,900) is thousands cheaper than guys like Luck and Rodgers, and could have far better production against a Raiders team that is simply terrible against the pass right now. And given the Raiders' ability to score, Mariota will likely be throwing a lot and will need to find the end zone more than once. And the WR stack that makes most sense is Tajae Sharpe ($4,700).
Running Back: Of the top 5 or so RBs in DraftKings that have favorable matchups this week, Matt Forte ($7,000) is the cheapest. The Chiefs have been abysmal against the run and Forte has been used heavily. Love this pick.
Value WR: It's time to separate ourselves. The LA Rams need to get their run game, and Todd Gurley, specifically, going this season. To do that, they absolutely need to get their downfield passing game working. Kenny Britt ($3,900) turned 10 targets into 6 catches for 94 yards against a good Seahawk D last week. We project that the Bucs will allow far more productivity in the passing game for Case Keenum and Kenny Britt. At just $3,900, he's a dice roll that could really hit big for us. Plus this allows us to splurge a bit with our final WR and flex spot.
Wide Receiver: Cardinal WR Larry Fitzgerald ($6,900) really gets no love. 23.6 ppg in DraftKings scoring, facing the third-worst defense in the NFL in terms of giving up fantasy points to WRs, and yet under $7k. Figure 20 points is his floor, with over 25 being the ceiling.
Flex: With plenty of cash left, we can pretty much pick anyone but Antonio Brown or OBJ. No matter, we'll plug DeAngelo Williams ($7,500) in, in his final start for the Steelers. He will want to prove himself worthy of remaining as a factor for the Steeler offense even with Le'Veon Bell back. Great matchup to boot, so we round out our lineup with the player scoring over 30 ppg.
QB: Mariota ($5,900)
RB: Gordon ($5,800)
RB: Forte ($7,000)
WR: Sharpe ($4,700)
WR: Britt ($3,900)
WR: Fitzgerald ($6,900)
TE: Witten ($4,300)
Flex: DeWilliams ($7,500)
DEF: Cowboys ($2,500)